Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 258.926367 292.850403 330.786554 376.587636 430.696077 492.965619 570.602120
2024-10-27 198.727309 240.187108 290.689426 357.580243 445.138266 557.697691 716.436329
2024-11-03 177.661997 224.778742 285.715549 372.027375 494.041062 665.036495 931.703303
2024-11-10 164.495692 215.963082 285.873173 390.632951 548.894843 788.428616 1198.481967
2024-11-17 148.924402 201.163236 274.878553 390.388656 574.559521 871.790011 1423.294041
2024-11-24 133.456986 184.362428 258.407488 378.702513 579.215309 920.812111 1600.560240
2024-12-01 121.108914 170.614257 244.567231 368.642729 583.946316 969.541078 1789.507561
2024-12-08 115.470338 166.187984 244.204113 379.877353 626.283885 1093.843333 2169.842473
2024-12-15 108.708362 159.287804 239.039319 382.052852 652.290123 1192.070770 2527.343709
2024-12-22 101.081065 150.297760 229.492939 375.175709 659.799855 1253.898954 2820.102405
2024-12-29 95.794249 144.595361 224.785119 376.270936 682.853619 1353.787066 3251.181910
2025-01-05 89.499733 136.719399 215.620673 367.902206 685.094978 1407.040509 3574.409372
2025-01-12 84.733339 131.167421 210.217834 366.510955 702.899904 1504.095357 4086.034061
2025-01-19 77.925310 121.685531 197.107343 348.637778 682.036994 1501.080755 4274.408890
2025-01-26 76.306535 121.010949 199.765290 362.607662 735.494648 1705.369915 5312.376579
2025-02-02 75.285294 121.277158 204.131244 380.617421 802.041582 1967.405430 6779.166499
2025-02-09 72.047117 117.327114 200.177742 380.380976 823.721742 2105.508084 7831.499858
2025-02-16 67.780678 111.229117 191.610481 369.070372 815.164454 2147.620886 8462.716170
2025-02-23 64.034879 105.866732 184.092330 359.331482 809.297351 2197.751105 9188.165231
2025-03-02 62.800427 105.087742 185.560664 370.207591 861.342970 2462.345869 11417.671228
2025-03-09 60.731857 102.597996 183.379629 372.313348 889.360419 2652.689123 13443.718830
2025-03-16 57.950630 98.583154 177.784503 365.656321 890.821551 2744.083209 14909.201121
2025-03-23 56.088683 96.232607 175.463851 366.716562 915.671541 2938.501195 17489.190683